Last night was crazy with the late scratch of Jimmy Butler. I had him in all my FanDuel lineups. Luckily, he was 40% owned in my 50/50s, which gave me some hope. I sweat it out and somehow, I managed to squeeze in 50/50 cash lines. I’m hoping for a more normal night tonight, but already news about Memphis resting guys is breaking as I write this. Here are my fades and pivots for tonight.
LeBron James ($11,500 FD / $10,500 DK): LeBron is always going to be a popular play solely because of the name value. He’s a complete fade for me today. No way am I paying that price, especially on FanDuel. Kevin Love is expected back tonight, which will alleviate some of the weight off LeBron’s shoulders. Also, some people think there’s a narrative for superstar players to have monster games at Madison Square Garden, but this is a 32 year old LeBron, not the 26 year old LeBron. The Cavs have been playing awful basketball of late, but the Knicks are that much worse. It could easily get out of hand and we could see LeBron sit the fourth and get some much needed rest.
DeMarcus Cousins ($11,100 FD / $10,700 DK): Other than one bad game against Houston, Boogie has been tearing it up, which is no surprise due to his high usage rate and Rudy Gay being out. I’ve been playing him every night (except the game against Houston) and tonight is another night to jump off the train. The Kings play Golden State with a massive 14 point spread. The Kings are so banged up I don’t see how this game stays close so I don’t expect Boogie to play more than three quarters. Also, Boogie has an awful track record against the Warriors as it is. I’m full fade on Boogie tonight.
John Wall ($10,600 FD / $10,200 DK): Today feels like a more fair and balanced approach. If I’m playing any superstars in cash, my favorite is Wall. He’s priced up, but he has an elite matchup against the Pelicans, who rank towards the bottom of the league against point guards and Wall has a good history against them.
Anthony Davis ($11,200 FD / $10,400 DK): Probably not playing him in cash due to the injury concern and because the mid-tier is loaded, but The Brow is my favorite high-priced GPP target. His ownership has been down of late due to the history of in-game injuries, but he’s played 40+ minutes in three straight and has scored 50+ FanDuel points in each. He has the highest upside on the slate.
Frank Kaminsky ($4,500 FD / $4,200 DK): The Hornets just traded away Roy Hibbert and Spencer Hawes to the Bucks and there is no word yet if their newly acquired Miles Plumlee will be available tonight. The Hornets have already announced that Frank The Tank will be starting at center tonight with Cody Zeller still out. Frank should be locked in to all the minutes he can handle and I would normally be all over him at this price, but he gets a date with Rudy Gobert, the worst possible matchup. I’m sitting this one out and will wait to jump on the train next game.
Zach Randolph ($6,100 FD / $5,600 DK), Serge Ibaka ($6,200 FD & DK), and Ersan Ilyasova ($6,100 FD / $6,500 DK): The mid-tier is so strong at PF tonight. You can’t go wrong with any of these guys. I expect all three to hit value and they all possess good GPP upside. One thing to keep an eye on is the status of Robert Covington for the 76ers. The team has already announced Gerald Henderson as the starter at SF tonight, but Covington is still listed as questionable. If for some reason we get news that he’s playing, this would reduce my interest in Ersan somewhat.
Recap of Yesterday’s Picks:
I recommended fading D’Angelo Russell for Yogi Ferrell, Darren Collison, Mike Conley (DK Only) and Jeff Teague. Well, D’Angelo ended up hitting 6x, but Yogi hit 8x, Collison about a point off 5x, Teague exceeded 5x and Conley was a bust at just shy of 4x. The call still worked out ok for me, as I still cashed. My second call was to fade Domantas Sabonis for Willie Cauley-Stein (GPPs Only). WCS only got 14 minutes and failed to reach double digit fantasy points, but Sabonis finished with negative fantasy points. Fading Sabonis was definitely the right call, but WCS didn’t come through for us as a GPP pivot.