After a massive 12-game slate yesterday we return on Thursday with a 6-game slate. It should be an interesting one with only a couple stars to pay up for and rumors of Cleveland resting their Big 3.
Channing Frye ($4,300 FD / $3,400 DK): If the Big 3 sit, as expected, Cleveland will only have 8 players suiting up tonight. Other than Tristan Thompson, the other 7 players are all at or near min price. As a result, they will be the most popular value plays on the slate, making it very easy to stack Harden/Westbrook along with another $8k+ plus player. Somebody is going to have to score for Cleveland, making Frye a viable cash target, but there’s an argument to be made for the GPP fade. Frye is actually much better with LeBron on the court than off. Frye excels as a spot up 3-point shooter, feeding off LeBron’s penetration and distribution. With LeBron off the court this season Frye has an 18.4% usage and averages .69 fantasy points per minute. With LeBron on the court this season Frye has a 22.5% usage and averages .91 fantasy points per minute. Also, in the 3 previous games this season that LeBron sat, Frye scored 13.9, 5.6 and 17 FanDuel points, respectively.
Ryan Anderson ($4,800 FD / $4,900 DK): This is the perfect contrarian boom-or-bust option. While I expect Frye to be the chalk at PF, both in cash and GPPs, I expect Anderson to be relatively low-owned in comparison. Box score chasers will see that he only scored 15.8, 3.8 and 16.4 FanDuel points in his last 3 games (all at home), keeping his ownership low. Anderson actually shoots much better on the road for whatever reason, and the Rockets will be playing at Charlotte tonight. Anderson shoots 30% from downtown at home and 47% on the road, and he averages 6.1 more real life points on the road than at home. Also, this projects to be a much more competitive game than the Thunder/Cavs game. Additionally, with Eric Gordon being listed as questionable, Anderson could see a few more shot attempts if Gordon sits. Again, this is strictly a GPP pivot, as he still has a low floor, as evidenced by his recent performance.
Recap of Yesterday’s Picks:
WCS turned out to be a good play, exceeding value, but the point guard picks did not fare well. If I would’ve stuck with my initial lineup I would’ve done well last night, but I bought in too much to what I was reading and made too many sub-optimal changes last minute.