Hey guys, it’s Kiliman here again with some more running backs for you to look into. We’ve got an interesting slate this week with a couple of match-ups with high scoring offenses. Some players are finally returning to the scene with Devonta Freeman back from injury and Mark Ingram from suspension. Their presence will definitely affect their respective backfields and it’ll be interesting to see how that shapes out. Now for some cash plays that can enhance your lineup. Target these players with favorable opportunities to blow up this week:
Joe Mixon (FD: $7100 DK: $6900) vs. MIA
Reasoning: Mixon was great in his first few weeks before injuring his knee. He should be back and playing this week and backup Giovani Bernard is now likely not to play meaning Mixon should be in for a heavy workload right away. He also has a decent match-up this week against the Dolphins who let up around 110 rushing yards per game. Also, if you’ve been reading a lot of my other articles, I am very high on the Bengals offense this season. Bill Lazor has done wonders as offensive coordinator going from scoring 18.1 ppg last year to 31.5 ppg through 4 games this year. With the whole offense clicking, Mixon has opportunities for lots of touches and touchdowns this week, especially since AJ Green has a tough matchup with stud corner Xavien Howard who has shut down many wide receivers so far this season. Look for Mixon to be involved both on the ground and through the air as long as his knee holds up.
*If Mixon and Bernard are unable to play, Mark Walton would become a great cheaper option*
Derrick Henry (FD: $5800 DK: $4400) @BUF
Reasoning: It’s finally here! It’s Derrick Henry week! Henry, who I’ve been high on before the season started, finally has a great opportunity for a big fantasy day. He has been a huge disappointment this season, but his match-up with the Bills this week could turn his season around. The Bills have let up numerous touchdowns to running backs where Aaron Jones, Melvin Gordon, and the entire Ravens backfield have had success finding the end-zone. The game script should help Henry too, as the Titans should be ahead for most of the game allowing Henry to see more snaps and touches. The Titans have been in dog-fights or playing from behind most weeks which allowed Dion Lewis to see most of the opportunities. This is the last chance I’m giving to Henry, if he doesn’t perform this week with such a great match-up, all of my confidence in him will be gone.
James Conner (FD: $7800 DK: $7500) vs. ATL
Reasoning: As a Steelers fan, this hurts for me to say, but since week 1, Conner has not been performing to the level everyone expected him to. This week, with Conner being super chalky due to the high over-under for the Falcons/Steelers game, his ownership percentage will be extremely high. I think the game script will hurt him a lot, as the game will be a shootout with a lot of passing. I could see Ben hitting 60 pass attempts. Now on Draftkings, Conner could be a decent play because most of his touches will likely come from his receiving abilities. Otherwise, he is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry this season, which is only 34th in the league. His touches have also dropped tremendously since his explosive week 1 from 36 to just 45 in the last 3 weeks combined. Conner will only have a few weeks left before Bell comes back, but I think there are better options at his price this week.
Carlos Hyde (FD: $6700 DK: $5200) vs. BAL
Reasoning: Carlos Hyde has been explosive lately, posting back-to-back great weeks running the football. With great performances come higher prices on DFS websites, and this week Hyde runs into a higher price along with a harder match-up. Baltimore has the 4th best rush defense in the league, allowing only 82 yards per game with only 2 rushing touchdowns. Also, Nick Chubb finally had a good week and even Hue Jackson said he needs to get the ball in the hands of Duke Johnson more so Hyde could see his touches start to deplete if the Browns go to more of a committee approach. Hopefully due to recency bias, a lot of people will lean towards Hyde, where Devonta Freeman is just $100 more and there are much better value options below him.
Ty Montgomery (FD: $5500 DK: $3800) @DET
Reasoning: Ty Montgomery could be the key to a GPP takedown this week, especially on Draftkings where his price is dirt cheap. Known for his pass-catching abilities, Montgomery could be in for a busy week with heavy injuries to the Packers receiving core. Now, Aaron Rodgers has been adamant about Aaron Jones needing more playing time which should push ownership towards Jones, where Montgomery will be used in a lot of different ways, especially if Randall Cobb, Geronimo Allison, and Davante Adams are unable to suit up. His match-up is very favorable as well since the Lions have been getting torched by running backs all season long. Look to play Jones and Montgomery this week, but Montgomery will definitely be the value play you need to construct the perfect lineup to win the millimaker.