The green line for cash games has been incredibly high thus far this season mostly because the chalkiest players are also the best plays and it’s difficult to fade these players. This week, the chalk seems to be going in every direction so here’s some players to focus on that should remain in your lineup, and some that should be avoided:
Fade: Blake Bortles (FD: $7000 DK: $5500) @KC
Reasoning: A lot of people are targeting Bortles as a cheaper QB option with a good match-up going against the porous Kansas City defense. Bortles, without Fournette, tends to play very well but is very inconsistent from game to game. We can see a 36 fantasy point performance in week 2 vs. the Patriots one week then a 9 point performance in week 3 vs. the Titans the next. The weather will not be helping his cause either. Rain is supposed to ruin the game atmosphere all day at Arrowhead Stadium, making it harder to throw the ball and likely lead to worse performance for Bortles. I’d rather play other QB’s like Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco, and Marcus Mariota this week at similar prices to Bortles.
Eat: Christian McCaffrey (FD: $8100 DK: $8000) vs. NYG
Reasoning: McCaffrey has been playing like a stud so far this season. Having some great rushing games like against the Bengals and some great receiving games like against the Falcons. McCaffrey has to keep a heavy workload due to the lack of other viable options for Cam Newton. With Greg Olsen injured, McCaffrey and Devin Funchess are the only two elite options for Newton to look at, and most of the time its been his favorite running back. McCaffrey could explode against the Giants who have let up big games to Ezekiel Elliot and Alvin Kamara. Look for McCaffrey to join that list this weekend.
Fade: Calvin Ridley (FD: $6800 DK: $5800) @PIT
Reasoning: A lot of people probably won’t like this fade due to the extremely high scoring game that Pittsburgh and Atlanta will have, but I think Ridley will have a poor performance this week. He has the toughest match-up out of the three Falcons receivers by lining up against Joe Haden for most of the day. Also, Ridley is very touchdown dependent. Averaging only 6 targets per game, with the exception of his game against the Saints, the others were salvaged by a touchdown where he would have scored less than 15 fantasy points in each of them had the touchdowns not occurred. Touchdowns are relatively random, and a good receiver has a much higher target share than Ridley so look to target Julio or Mohammed Sanu instead of Ridley this week.
Eat: Marquez Valdes-Scantiling (FD: $4800 DK: $3300) @ DET
Reasoning: Speaking of a free space, MVS is as great of a value play as they come. If I were to tell you that you would be able to roster a receiver for Aaron Rodgers who is likely to get an abundance of targets from the slot, why wouldn’t you play him? With Randall Cobb and likely Geronimo Allison ruled out, MVS jumps up to the No. 2 receiver on the Packers roster behind Davante Adams who isn’t 100% and has a tough match-up against Darius Slay. Per PFF, Aaron Rodgers throws the 2nd most passes to slot receivers which is right around 25% of the time. At 6’4″ and running a 4.37 40 yard dash, Valdes-Scantling has the intangibles to be a great receiver, and this week he is getting the opportunity to be one. MVS should be in line to eat this week with a near minimum salary on both sites.